Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 14.704334 17.126600 19.763075 22.838067 26.317878 30.125345 34.598043
2025-06-22 10.808981 14.167970 18.196100 23.343455 29.703052 37.256960 46.857771
2025-06-29 8.165701 11.786540 16.480294 22.922813 31.434461 42.182827 56.651901
2025-07-06 6.248068 9.820348 14.776242 22.006475 32.109415 45.524478 64.441009
2025-07-13 5.515004 9.294883 14.834999 23.319654 35.706998 52.804976 77.781436
2025-07-20 4.895477 8.796781 14.807550 24.421852 39.012583 59.843678 91.215020
2025-07-27 4.305656 8.225112 14.555667 25.100282 41.683823 66.099865 103.895517
2025-08-03 3.722633 7.553172 14.031609 25.252025 43.507580 71.175844 115.120548
2025-08-10 3.134732 6.762631 13.189683 24.761816 44.228705 74.577733 123.991644
2025-08-17 2.624624 6.019806 12.316867 24.093021 44.551963 77.320558 131.945585
2025-08-24 2.189540 5.339860 11.454808 23.323257 44.596945 79.565909 139.183019
2025-08-31 1.806515 4.691147 10.554251 22.364482 44.198175 81.011958 145.161299
2025-09-07 1.658603 4.552549 10.676266 23.413920 47.593309 89.251914 163.194447
2025-09-14 1.455305 4.252846 10.445429 23.792212 49.873159 95.875502 179.171554
2025-09-21 1.215431 3.807655 9.836623 23.340964 50.563354 99.793333 190.830564
2025-09-28 0.983580 3.320410 9.048234 22.406191 50.215206 101.812632 199.298952
2025-10-05 0.928397 3.298458 9.317672 23.739137 54.410126 112.285981 223.181066
2025-10-12 0.864928 3.237505 9.483399 24.858254 58.258929 122.346284 246.852947
2025-10-19 0.785461 3.108494 9.460747 25.547100 61.274344 131.019104 268.459303
2025-10-26 0.691121 2.906927 9.220238 25.701169 63.174851 137.674891 286.699626
2025-11-02 0.583827 2.629827 8.732034 25.203426 63.627647 141.541675 299.930654
2025-11-09 0.486697 2.355627 8.199914 24.524321 63.608655 144.454367 311.481851
2025-11-16 0.401832 2.095976 7.657762 23.742643 63.274507 146.688892 321.815790